Jeremy Corbyn: Honest Broker or Untrustworthy “Old Grandpa”?

The Question Time Leaders Special on the 22nd November in Sheffield may seem like ancient history, but the charge  of anti-semitism made against Jeremy Corbyn in the debate has fuelled a widely accepted narrative that fed into Corbyn’s damaging interview with Andrew Neil, the attack on his character by the Chief Rabbi and a daily media festival on his unsuitability to enter Downing Street and to be our next Prime Minister. 

Corbyn was the first leader to face the Question Time audience, and an early question opened promisingly from Corbyn’s perspective, referring to the Labour leader’s defence of “free speech and standing up for human rights.” [5mins42secs]  However, the questioner then went  on to refer to female MPs being “driven out of the party.”  There followed a momentary change of tack:  “I’m willing to give you the benefit of the doubt”  he said to Corbyn, but  then went on to describe a You Tube video in stark terms,  as showing Jewish MP Ruth Smeeth being “heckled” out of a press conference and “at the end of the meeting, there you are, chatting happily to that same heckler”.  

The questioner reiterates that there is a video of these events on YouTube. He says he is “terrified” for his two young daughters. 

The questioner becomes visibly angry . His willingness to give Corbyn “the benefit of the doubt” seems to have evaporated and with some feeling he concludes: “I don’t buy that nice old grandpa”.  The audience responds with applause. 

Corbyn does not attempt to engage with the detail of the accusation, but makes a short statement acknowledging that Ruth Smeeth and other women MPs have been the object  of unacceptable misogyny and abuse, and concludes by saying that “misogyny, bad behaviour and racism in any form are not acceptable in the Labour Party”. This statement also receives some applause. 

I have searched out the video to which the questioner referred. Its source is ITV news and I have watched it several times, but find it difficult to draw the same conclusions.  

The “heckler” is Marc Wadsworth.  Heckling does not really describe what I see happening, but he  does indeed direct a very blunt accusation against Ruth Smeeth. “I saw that the Telegraph handed a copy of a press release to Ruth Smeeth MP so you can see who’s working hand in hand”   On hearing this, Ruth Smeeth looks distinctly unhappy and rises to exit the meeting.  Perhaps there was additional “heckling” but this wasn’t apparent. The ITV news reporter comments  that “she is a Jewish MP who didn’t like being linked to a conspiracy.”   

The video goes on to report that Marc Wadsworth has been expelled from the party and we can hear him saying, in an interview, that some members of the Parliamentary Party cannot accept Corbyn’s leadership; he implies that his expulsion is in reality a consequence of this. 

The  Independent Newspaper [27Apri1l8]  reports on the matter, describing Mr Wadsworths attack on Ms Smeeth as a “tirade at the launch of the Chakrabati report in 2016”.   “Tirade?”  You must judge for yourself if this is a correct representation of Marc Wadsworth’s tone.   

The Independent goes on to report Marc Wadsworth as he prepares to face the ensuing disciplinary tribunal:  “I’m confident as I’m not guilty. If it’s fair I will be exonerated.  I’m totally opposed to anti-semitism, to all forms of bigotry, to anti-black racism and Islamaphobia.”  It is probably worth noting that Marc Wadsworth is a person of colour and will doubtless have some experience to give credibility to his statement.  We now know, however, that he was expelled from the party.

The party tribunal has judged Marc Wadsworth to be guilty of anti-semitism.  On the basis of the evidence provided by the video, bullying might seem a more sustainable charge, but again, the evidence is slight.  I am sure Ruth Smeeth is tough and and able to defend herself, so the fact that she exits the meeting could suggest that there was more happening in the background.  But then I have to wonder, what was the charge that Marc Wadsworth was making with regard to the Telegraph, a paper which we all know to be hostile to the interests of the Labour Party?  

The  ITV reporter places a particular emphasis on the word “conspiracy.” Was he suggesting that the charge of “conspiracy”  is a coded form of anti-semitism? In the context of the video, the word was used only by the reporter. But let us suppose Marc Wadsworth believes there is a conspiracy to unseat Jeremy Corbyn.  Are we to believe that it is only Jewish MPs who are part of this “conspiracy”, when it is quite clear that the larger part of the Parliamentary Party have been unhappy with the Corbyn leadership.

My conclusion is that Marc Wadsworth sincerely believes he is not an anti-semite and Ruth Smeeth sincerely believes he is. The questioner clearly sides with Ruth Smeeth, though his framing of the question does suggest uncertainty.  As for Jeremy Corbyn: well, I will leave judgement on one side for the moment, whilst I look at comparable accusations made against Boris Johnson.

Mr Johnson as we know has been accused of racism on the basis of articles he has written.  I will focus in particular on the article which he represents as a defence of the rights of women to wear what they choose and in which he refers to the burqa as making women look like “letterboxes.”   This is clearly not a respectful way to refer to women who adopt this particular form of dress as an expression of religious belief: but, Mr Johnson protests: he defends their right to dress in this fashion.  

Naturally those who are opposed to Boris Johnson have seized upon this to accuse him of racism.  I do not agree with this accusation. His remarks are a clear reference to a form of dress adopted by some Muslim women.  Islam is a religion open to all races and therefore the disrespect of the comment is not racist in character. 

Where I think Boris Johnson is most at fault in this case, is in his failure to understand the vulnerability of the women, often young women,  who he has so casually disrespected. These are women who will be targeted in the street by humiliating and threatening comments and who are ill-equipped to defend themselves.  Boris Johnson’s contribution to this threat has been to legitimise such abuse. This may not be his intention, but it will certainly be a consequence of it. For someone who now aspires to unite the nation, this seems an egregious failure.   

As we know, this is not the only questionable phrase of Boris Johnson’s, but I do not propose to analyse his every word: suffice to say: he has people of colour in his Cabinet;  he has women in his Cabinet; I do not believe he is a racist.  

Perhaps I have not convinced you, and even in my own household, my wife charges me with being too ready to excuse Boris Johnson for his loose talk.  My point is that we all must struggle to be objective in our judgements. So Boris, in my view, is not a racist: but neither do I think that Jeremy Corbyn is an anti-semite. 

There is however a wider question concerning  the Labour Party, anti-semitism and Jeremy Corbyn’s leadership in this vexed context. Part of the problem for Corbyn is that,  anti-semitism is widely regarded as a straight-forward offence, easily identified, and therefore easily dealt with by anyone with a serious desire to eradicate it. And yet all of the high profile cases that I have knowledge of, involve people who, like Marc Wadsworth, actually believe themselves to be campaigners against racism. The determination of truth in such cases is obscured by their complications and the inevitability of our own prejudices.

At the heart of all these cases are differences of opinion regarding the state of Israel, the conduct of its Government and the plight of the Palestinian people.  Such differences of opinion have co-existed in the Labour Party for many years. Under the leadership of Jeremy Corbyn however, the membership of the Party has dramatically increased, and I think it a fair assumption that this newer membership is more outspoken in its criticism of the Israeli Government, more militant in its defence of the Palestinian people and more liable to raise questions concerning the origins of the Israeli state.   

The increased membership has resulted in a change in the balance of power in Labour Party debate regarding these issues. My surmise is that some Jewish MPs and other Jewish Labour activists  who legitimately see it as their duty to promote the interests of Israel, have increasingly found themselves outnumbered by those who are sharply critical of Israel and who wish to highlight the injustices done to the Palestinian people of the region.   In such circumstances it is not hard to imagine tempers becoming frayed and, so far as such beleaguered Friends of Israel are concerned, the Labour party becoming an increasingly uncomfortable place.   

Whatever may be the underlying dynamic, there is a strikingly under-reported aspect to this issue: the existence of Jewish Voice for Labour, the voting membership of which are people who identify themselves as Jewish and who strongly defend Jeremy Corbyn.  The following paragraph from their Statement of Principles is revealing:

We stand for rights and justice for Jewish people everywhere, and against wrongs and injustice to Palestinians and other oppressed people anywhere. We uphold the right of supporters of justice for Palestinians to engage in solidarity activities, such as Boycott, Divestment and Sanctions. We oppose attempts to widen the definition of antisemitism beyond its meaning of hostility towards or discrimination against Jews as Jews. 

The conduct of debate around these issues is highly charged. With the changing dynamics in the Labour Party, It is clear why some Jewish MPs who have a less critical approach to the history of the Jewish state and are more inclined to find defences for the current Israeli  Government, as a consequence, have come under pressure.   

Critics of the Israeli Government can quite reasonably make the case, that the just and peaceful solution they seek for Palestinians, is also in the interests of the long term security of Israelis.  Where their expression of this case crosses a line into bullying and abuse – and perhaps this does happen, we enter a zone where the fundamental nature of the dispute is at issue.

Disorderly, disrespectful, and abusive debate in this context is not necessarily anti-semitic though may easily be experienced or represented as such. Whether debate is  simply bullying in character or crosses a line into anti-semitism, it should be unnacceptable in the Labour Party. But equally, the charge of anti semitism should not be mis-used to suppress a perspective which, though uncongenial to some – perhaps even a majority of Jewish people, does not represent “hostility towards or discrimination against Jews as Jews”

It is well known that the arrival of Jeremy Corbyn as leader and the more radical policy direction taken by the Shadow Cabinet, was not greeted enthusiastically by most of the parliamentary Labour Party. It is also clear that Corbyn’s critics came from a  largely Blairite section of the Parliamentary party. These MPs rallied around Jewish MPs, such as Ruth Smeeth, Luciana Berger and and Margaret Hodge who have read anti-semitism into the expression of views such as those consistent with the principles of Jewish Voice for Labour. 

These accusations of anti-semitism  have flowed readily into the wider Jewish community, a considerable proportion of which is Zionist in their orientation, and protective of the interests of the Israel. Whilst I am confident that both sides of this debate are represented amongst British Jews, the numbers who may align with the Jewish Voice for Labour perspective are smaller, and less effectively represented.

The general unpopularity of Jeremy Corbyn, particularly in papers such as the Daily Mail, The Express, The Times, the Sun, and the Telegraph, has amplified these charges of anti-semitism uncritically. There has been a complete failure in the broadcast and print media to represent the other side to this story of Jewish opinion, both in and beyond the Labour Party.

The Labour Party must be a safe place for Jewish members who wish to speak up for the interests of Israel. It must also be a place  where the policies of the Israeli Government are a valid object of criticism and the origins of the Jewish state may be discussed objectively in relation to its ongoing impact on other residents of the region in which it was established. Jeremy Corbyn has shown some fortitude in trying to square this circle, but let us not pretend that the judgements to be made in bringing about a reconciliation are simple and straightforward.

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A Second Round with the Champ: Will Boris Hen it?

During the Tory leadership campaign, Boris Johnson was interviewed by Andrew Neil.  Neil was obviously determined to thwart Johnson from diverting the event into one of his rhetorical flights. Indeed, at  one point, the aspiring party leader interjected: “You’re choleric Andrew!” True, the humour and politeness with which Neil normally frames his interview was not much in evidence, but what could Boris have meant?

The dictionary meaning of “choleric” is, “bad tempered or irritable” but in this case, Boris being a scholar of the classics, perhaps the word was a reference to one  of the four temperaments described by the Greek physician  Hippocrates (c. 460 – c. 370 BC).  Was this allusion perhaps an expression of Boris’s concern for the health of his interlocutor, fearing maybe, that Neil would expire mid-question? This would not have been a good look for the Johnson leadership campaign. At any rate, both survived the experience, with any  damage done to Boris proving of no consequence.

Andrew Neil is a formidable interviewer.  In yesterday’s edition of the Talking Politics podcast, [Tech Election Part 2] there was a suggestion that pre-election party leader interviews with Neil should be written into our constitution.  The conclusion of this amusing fantasy was that all-comers to these interviews would be eviscerated, and the negative impacts equally shared across all parties.   

Andrew Neil is currently engaged in a cycle of interviews of party leaders. Those who have already been through this mill, accepted the test on the understanding that all party leaders would be subject to it.  However, having witnessed the bruising already dealt to Jeremy Corbyn and Nicola Sturgeon, the Conservative leader appears to be losing his nerve and has begun making excuses which will allow him to resile from the commitment. 

Jeremy Corbyn’s particular discomfort in his encounter with Andrew Neil related to Neil’s questioning on anti-semtism in the Labour Party.  Corbyn’s difficulty featured prominently in the newspaper headlines of the following day.   

The Canadian writer and podcaster, Malcolm Gladwell appeared on Politics Live on Wednesday in the wake of this interview.  He offered his perception of the pressure Neil was applying to Corbyn with regard to anti-semitism. “As an outsider with no understanding of this particular issue, beyond what I’ve seen in the first five minutes, his[Corbyn’s] answer seemed thoughtful and well meaning and he was being baited by this other chap into trying to create a media moment…”  [Politics Live 4:57]  Not necessarily in connection with this issue, Malcolm Gladwell had a further concise judgement to make on the  UK media reporting of the election: “England(sic) has the most partisan press I’ve ever seen.” [Politics Live 37:15]  

Should this commentary all seem a little too pro-Labour, it is worth pointing out that Malcolm Gladwell, on the basis of a clearly well informed perspective, went on to make some very challenging points to Shadow Secretary of State for International Trade, Barry Gardiner with regard to the Labour Party’s contention that a trade deal with the US  would necessarily increase pharmaceutical costs for the NHS.

Andrew Neil is generally better informed and smarter than his interviewees.  There are times though when his tenacious approach generates more heat than light. My own preferred interviewer is Evan Davis of BBC Radio’s PM, who manages to affect a bemused incredulity when his guests fail to provide a straight answer.  He also has an understanding that the old interview trope of demanding a yes or no answer and denying the opportunity for this to be given context, can lead to a sterile encounter.  

Still, in this particular case, the man who aspires  to lead our nation out of the European Union needs to pull himself together and step into the ring for another round with Andrew Neil. 

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Contracts, Manifestos and Constitutional Reform

On Politics Live Brexit  [22Nov2019], Party MEP Ben Habib,  put in an appearance, waving the Brexit “contract”, the Brexit Party alternative to a manifesto.  The Faragists insist that manifestos are untrustworthy and not a set of serious and binding commitments – unlike, apparently,  the Brexit Party “Contract”.

For a contract to have real significance in this context, it would have to have potential legal rather than simply electoral repercussions,  and there was no evidence of this being part of its conception, so I don’t suppose the document is really any different than the other party manifestos, which is to say: a set of aspirations which, should the party in question become our government,  are quite likely to be pushed to one side or otherwise modified in response to the day to day realities of running the country. And of course if you have no serious expectation of governing the country, then your contract/manifesto can gravitate more towards  the wish-list end of the commitment spectrum.  

The Brexit Party “Contract” is a strikingly small document, and indeed Jo Coburn, Chair of Politics Live for the day,  was rather rude about its size and lack of content. Ben Habib is not easily ruffled however and shrugged this off with, I thought, good humour, but then went on to ignore  its contents, and instead, to make attacks on the Manifesto of the Labour Party.  

As he is in property, he felt able to say that Labour plans to build at an  “annual rate of at least 150,000 council and social homes,” are not realistic. Property is indeed his area of expertise.   His Wikipedia entry informs us that “He has discussed in interviews how uncertainty around Brexit could be an opportunity for profit for his business.”  

One cannot doubt that the Labour Party’s house building plans are ambitious.  Ben Habib’s expertise however is evidently in making money out of property, and less  obviously in solving the housing crisis which faces our country. And of course, any programme which focuses on building a large number of affordable houses, will have the probable outcome of stabilising the market and reducing the pickings for property speculators such as Mr Habib. So perhaps he is not the most impartial judge of this particular  policy. 

Ben Habib however went on to take another swipe at the Labour Party Manifesto, arguing that despite “3 years of constitutional crisis in Parliament….there is not a single policy from either of them [Tory or Labour] for constitutional reform.”  

So far as the Labour Party is concerned, this is a serious misrepresentation which I regret to say went unchallenged by Holly Rigby of Momentum, who was also on the panel.  

Actually the Labour Party’s proposals are significant: in summary their plan is that “The renewal of our Parliament will be subject to recommendations made by a UK-wide Constitutional Convention, led by a citizens’ assembly.”  

I am, to declare an interest, a long time member of the Labour Campaign for Electoral Reform, and therefore a strong critic of the Labour Party on this particular matter, where the self interest of sitting Labour politicians, in collusion with a similar set of interests on the Conservative side of Parliament, have continued to prop-up  our deeply flawed First Past the Post Electoral System.  

A Citizens Assembly is no guarantee of the particular reforms which I personally might seek, but would seem to me a fresh way of approaching the reform of our Constitution in a manner which will not just seem like an establishment stitch-up. It is a bold proposal. Had Ben Habib read the Labour Party Manifesto, he might even agree.

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The Liberal Democrats and the Art of the Impossible

“I think I am quite different to the other leaders.” 

So said Jo Swinson at the launch of the Liberal Democrat manifesto. [20N0v2019] “They’ve all got an outlook which is very much harking back to the past, whether that’s the 1870s or the 1970s.”  

The 1970’s was not a great decade for the Labour Party, and I dare say Ms Swinson, in naming this decade,  was alluding to the slide of the Callaghan Government towards the 1979 election of Margaret Thatcher and all that followed. 

As the Labour Party did not exist in the 1870s she must have the Conservative party in mind in relation to this second reference. As it happens,  in 1867, under Benjamin Disraeli the Conservative Party passed the Reform Act, which significantly extended the franchise. This stands as one of the more progressive moments in Conservative history. Still, I am not here to defend the Conservative Party.  I dare say the symmetry of 1970 and 1870 was hard to resist, and Ms Swinson’s barb was really intended to suggest that both parties are backward looking and out-dated unlike Ms Swinson who presents herself as “focused on the future ……[a future] that is open-hearted, open-minded, outward-looking, internationalist and liberal.”   

These are admirable sentiments, eloquently expressed; yet this does not excuse her rather glib smear of the Labour Party’s proposed policies by association with their 1970s record.

So far as the Labour Party are concerned, the 1930s is a more illuminating connection to make with the ambition of their policy proposals which quite explicitly draw inspiration from President Franklin D Roosevelt’s Keynesian inspired New Deal. 

It was Roosevelt whose policies of investment in infrastructure took the United States out of the depression, which had so destroyed the World economy, following the 1929 Wall Street Crash. The New Deal included large scale planting of trees to stem the loss of topsoil which had resulted from the environmental disaster of the Dust Bowl and also the extension of the necessary infrastructure for electricity supplies to reach rural parts of the US which the free market roll out of electricity had failed to connect.

Despite its unfortunate record in the 2010 coalition I continue to see the Liberal Democrats as a party whose fundamental impulses are progressive and therefore I  puzzle at their refusal to see an opportunity to work with Labour in the event of a hung Parliament, where they may hold the balance of power. Cooperation with Labour is the most likely route to a second referendum and the most probable way in which they may achieve their stated objective, to stop Brexit.  

Perhaps Ms Swinson believes she can wring a second referendum out of Boris Johnston, with his deal and remain as the options on the ballot. She is welcome to try, but actually I think he’d rather die in a ditch, or more probably, crash us out without any deal at all.

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Boris versus Jeremy

The pundit’s verdict on the leadership debate seems generally to be that neither candidate excelled themselves, and that there was no victor.  

It has always been clear that Boris tells better jokes and is cleverer with words than Jeremy.  Personally I find Jeremy’s speeches marked by rhetorical flourishes which are full of good intention but less than inspiring;  his PMQs performances are neither incisive nor witty. 

But then PMQs is a forum stacked in favour of the PM with the PM always having the last word. In the ITV election debate, by contrast, Jeremy showed fluency in argument which was certainly a match for Boris who seemed heavily reliant on slogans and to have trouble drawing his comments to a conclusion, with Julie Etchingham frequently having to call him to order.

Boris’s “killer” point was that, in the event of Labour winning the election and negotiating a “credible new deal” with the EU,  Jerermy declines to commit himself in the second EU referendum Labour will organise, to support either the leave or remain option.  

Following the debate, this  weakness in Jeremy’s position has been widely commented on and I notice that Nicola Sturgeon has, for her own reasons, chosen to amplify it. 

Jeremy’s ambivalence to the EU was clear at the time of the first referendum.  He is from that tradition in the Labour Party – led by his hero Tony Benn, who never wished to be in the EU in the first place.  As someone who voted to remain in the first referendum, I was less than pleased by this positioning. 

However, at this particular juncture,  Jeremy’s refusal to commit seems rather more credible.  The country is clearly divided over Brexit, and what Jeremy is telling us is that he can live with either leave or remain and will abide by the decision of the people. 

There are I think moments when a leader should stand on principle.  There are however other moments when they should listen and be led; this is such a moment.

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Public control of a full fibre network and the implications for our freedoms

I have just been listening to Claire Fox of the Brexit Party on Any Questions [15Nov2019].  She strongly opposes  Labour’s Policy to take BT Open Reach into public ownership and embark on a plan to roll out a full fibre network to be universally available and free to all, by 2030.   Ms Fox supports public ownership in other sectors, such as transport; her objection in this case is that she fears the state will misuse its ownership of such a network to spy on us. This is not the first time I have heard this argument: I don’t expect it will be the last.

Ownership of internet infrastructure is not a prerequisite for using it for malign purpose: we have only to consider the record of Cambridge Analytica who harvested Facebook Profiles to support the Vote Leave campaign by targeted advertising;  or the role of Russian actors in hacking Hillary Clinton’s emails: however, ownership by a democratically elected government, constrained by a free press and held accountable at elections, is surely preferable to ownership by private companies accountable, above all other considerations, to their shareholders. 

Still,  public ownership of a network which carries an infinity of private, personal and otherwise sensitive information, requires a  discussion of how this resource may be protected from unwarranted covert surveillance. There is a case for police and security services to have some managed access to the network in the interest of catching criminals and protecting us from terrorist threats. Parliament should naturally be at the centre of public debate  around such matters, and the drawing up of rules for oversight.   

Claire Fox’s attack on this Labour policy may have more to say about her antipathy to their policy on  Brexit and her desire to damage their electoral prospects. A full fibre broadband network, free to everyone in the same way as our network of roads, seems a strong policy with a potential to invigorate every corner of  UK life: business, education, health, culture, social, and personal. Affordability? Well that’s a discussion for another place. 

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Conservatism – A Hopeless Case

Amongst other steps that I am taking to escape the echo chamber of my own opinions, I have recently been listening to some episodes of the CapX podcast.  I am prompted to respond to a recent edition (4Oct2019) featuring a debate at the Conservative Party Conference under the title, The Case for Conservatism.  This turned out to be something of an echo chamber in its own right, but was a provocation to me, as it offered a range of widely disseminated distortions, if not downright untruths, as regards the case for what I will call progressive politics.  To be blunt, I thought the case for conservatism was poorly made and the case for socialism misunderstood and misrepresented.  

Rory Stewart Meets Dominic Cummings

As I drafted this response, Parliament finally agreed on December 12th as the date for a general election. Although this essay was not originally conceived as a contribution to the election campaign, it now acquires that character despite not focussing on policy or the Prime Minister’s call to “Get Brexit done”. 

That estimable conservative, and now former member of the Tory Party, Rory Stewart, told a story when he featured in a recent edition of the Talking Politics podcast (30Oct2019).  He spoke of the only occasion he has met  with Dominic Cummings when, at the time of his leadership campaign, they went out for a Dim Sum in China Town, over which meal Cummings advised him that a winning formula could be boiled down to just three points: “Get Brexit done, defeat Jeremy Corbyn, and unite the country”. It was not long after this that Stewart  heard this mantra repeated back to him, first by Sajid Javid, and then by other leadership contenders, and of course, Boris Johnson.

Having failed to achieve the first of these three objectives by 31st October, as he so confidently asserted he would, Boris Johnson has regrouped and raised the defeat of Jeremy Corbyn to the top of his list of priorities.  Leaving the question of Brexit aside, his unfolding programme appears to disregard many conservative shibboleths: yet he must rely on the support of the Conservative Party to govern and it is the character of the Conservative Party, as expressed in the Capx discussion, that is the prompt for this essay, though as will become apparent, I digress throughout into a defence against the many attacks on the policies of the left that were also expressed.

Conservatism and Edmund Burke

In the CapX podcast, that great Irish conservative of the late eighteenth century, Edmund Burke, was spoken of with due reverence. Burke’s cautionary approach to constitutional change is easy to defend given what was happening in France at the time he was active.  The French Revolution was never going to appeal to those who were comfortable with the status quo, but it is fair to say that many potential beneficiaries of the Liberté, Egalité and Fraternité supposedly on offer, will have, at the very least, been disappointed by the outcome. The price paid by the aristocracy will naturally have solidified a conservative frame of mind in those of similar status elsewhere in Europe.  

The French Revolution was not socialist in character, but the CapX discussion appeared to move seamlessly to the idea that modern socialism is dangerously revolutionary, inferring a willingness to use violence and to risk all in pursuit of the socialist goal.  It is true of course that many anarchist and socialist theorists of the nineteenth century believed that violent revolution would be a necessity for the overthrow of the old order, but they were writing at a time when democracy was limited and the struggle for universal franchise was in its infancy.

In the United Kingdom throughout the nineteenth century, employment for the working classes was poorly paid,insecure, and often dangerous.  Given that the franchise for most of this period was available only to a privileged minority, it is hardly surprising that revolution seemed an attractive option to many unprepared to tolerate this injustice. 

However, with the extension of the franchise in the late nineteenth century, the Labour Party established its foothold in constitutional politics and has consistently operated within this framework of law. Of course there are some on the left who romanticise revolution and hope for something good to emerge from the overthrow of a despotic regime by a socialist inspired transformation: however, every  serious left wing politician would defend free speech, the rule of law, and above all, democracy as a fundamental expression of our common ownership of the world in which we live. Jeremy Corbyn, according to Daniel Hannan, “regretted the outcome of the cold war.”  Well I daresay he may have regretted that Glasnost and Perestroika did not win the day for Mikhail Gorbachov, but then Margaret Thatcher was something of a cheerleader in that project also, and given the current state of Russia and its malign influence on international politics, do we not all now have some regrets about the outcome of the cold war?

Competition and The Free Market

This leads me to identify a further falsehood in the CapX discussion, which assumes that socialism is ideologically opposed to working within the capitalist system, when in practice the Labour Party and other parties of the left around Europe have struck a balance between state control of key industries and infrastructure and regulation of private enterprise to protect workers and enhance pay and conditions in general.  Indeed it is not widely appreciated that Marx believed that capitalism would have to be fully mature before socialism would become possible. He makes this crystal clear in a short passage from the Preface to the Critique of Political Economy.

No social order ever perishes before all the productive forces for which there is room in it have developed; and new, higher relations of production never appear before the material conditions of their existence have matured in the womb of the old society itself. Therefore mankind always sets itself only such tasks as it can solve; since, looking at the matter more closely, it will always be found that the task itself arises only when the material conditions of its solution already exist or are at least in the process of formation.

With this passage in mind it is clear that the Soviet and Chinese revolutions were a vain attempt to build  socialism in societies which were in fact pre-industrial.   

Where Marx undoubtedly got things wrong was in his estimation of the “room” in capitalism for the further development of “productive forces”. He did not foresee the series of technological revolutions which the protean forces of capitalism have, with such devastating effect, been able to unleash: however, as Paul Mason argues in his book Post Capitalism: A Guide to the Future there is strong evidence that with the ongoing  development of robot technology, we have moved into the last hurrah of capitalism, which is showing a decreasing ability to provide well paid and secure employment and is therefore unable to spread prosperity,  to all parts of society, despite its unparalleled productive potential.  

Listening to a more recent edition of the CapX Podcast, The Future of Capitalism (25Jan2019)  a discussion which also took place at this years Conservative Party conference,   it is clear that there are concerns at the lack of dynamism in the current incarnation of capitalism, and a readiness to look at the system in a fresh way,  and to listen to a range of not necessarily conservative commentators:  however,  I didn’t hear in this discussion  an analysis or a vision that matches that in Paul Mason’s book. 

Returning to the discussion featured in The Case for Conservatism, I should like to pick up a number of other misconceptions that were clearly assumed to be a reasonable description of left wing or socialist thinking.  Let’s start with free markets. It is clear that socialists see a need for regulation of markets, but that is not the same as an outright rejection. Even in a post-capitalist society, one can see that there may be a place for free markets to manage production and distribution of goods and services in some cases.  On the left, however, there is no ideological commitment to markets and, by contrast, an openness to the possibility that other methods of production and distribution may emerge under a socialist dispensation. 

Freedom and Equality

A second misconception, often repeated by conservatives, concerns the idea of equality.  It was suggested unquestioningly by the CapX panel that the effect or perhaps even the  objective of socialism was to make everyone equal in the sense that everyone would be the same — a vision perhaps best exemplified by those huge rallies held in a previous incarnation of the Chinese revolution, where thousands of people dressed identically in Mao suits would dutifully turn out to laud the Chairman’s latest oration. 

No democratic socialist wishes for a society of clones.  Equality of opportunity such that each person can achieve their individual destiny is, however, an idea of great importance.       What is envisioned in a socialist world is opportunity for all citizens to progress beyond the frantic pursuit of the necessities of life and to engage socially and culturally, each according to their character and disposition.  This implies the development of much greater individuality, consistent with a freedom from the demands of mere survival:  engagement with the natural world, community activism and volunteering, enquiry and the acquisition of knowledge, the cultivation of mindfulness and better health, participation in sports and in the arts in all their forms.  Oddly enough, I believe many of the great conservatives would have understood this: Churchill after all, painted, built walls, appreciated fine champagne and, needless to say, had a love of language. The conservative vision, however, sees these higher pursuits as being largely for an elite, whereas the socialist vision is founded on a belief in the untapped potential in all of us.  

Free market capitalism by contrast, to a large extent, fetishizes trivial choices, and drives the  world towards a cultural homogeneity — I note that Daniel Hannan in his spirited defence of the UK Union was pleased to observe that, across the Kingdom: “we dress similarly, we shop at the same chains.”   Hmm … I rest my case.  

Inheritance Tax

A further central value in conservatism is, according to the discussion, the importance of being able to pass something on to your children, this being a justification for the reduction, or even elimination, of inheritance tax, clearly much hated by the wealthy.  

Socialists too, hope to leave something for their children, but seek to achieve this by creating a society which can deliver for everyone the essentials of good quality housing, education, health care, social infrastructure and the rest …  Needless to say, inherited wealth is the enemy of this objective and particularly so in the question of equal opportunity. Naturally there should be some level of protection for aspects of property which have sentimental or historical importance to an individual or a family, but wealth passed untaxed down the generations is a recipe for an unequal society. 

Indeed, the conservative vision with regard to social mobility  is a limited one: to raise up a few from the working classes by means of scholarships and grammar schools.  The socialist vision is that the lives of the working class are universally enriched both culturally and materially.   

I would add a further point to my critique of inherited wealth;  though it did not particularly feature in the CapX discussion, conservatism in general advocates that hard work should be rewarded: yet, where there is inherited wealth, some are rewarded regardless of effort, and others without the good fortune of an inheritance, struggle.  I admire, as much as anyone else, those who, against the odds, do achieve great things; this does not, however, blind me to the reality of many unable to progress in the face of the obstacles which confront them.  

The Nation State

A number of participants stressed the importance of the nation state to conservatives.  Stephen Parkinson for example: “We believe in the nation state” which  “gives us a sense of identity and pride.”    In his aforementioned defence of the union,  Neil Hannan gave classic expression to this idea that we derive pride form nationhood, as he reminded us that we “invented virtually everything worth inventing from parliamentary democracy to golf, from the boy scouts to chocolate bars — we are an extraordinary people stronger together”.  This kind of rhetoric probably plays well with many, but for me it rather misses the point of what is good about being a UK citizen.  I am certainly not a fan of those citizenship tests widely advocated by conservatives for new migrants. Just let them get on with it, I say, and by the time the second generation has matured they will be as distinctively British in their own way as  Grayson Perry or Punk Rock: this plurality of culture is for me what makes this a great nation … sorry, sorry, I am in danger of disappearing down the same rhetorical rabbit hole as Daniel Hannan.  

But let me say something further about Daniel Hannan’s defence of the union speech.  It was truly a grade A school debating society performance but as a defence of the union it was self-congratulatory complacency.  He says for example: “Although England and Scotland have separate and complimentary histories they are nonetheless intermarried and intermingled and alike.”  I prefer, as my previous comments may hint, to value the ways in which we are not alike.  Clearly those who speak received English as their first language may move about the Kingdom armed with their UK Esperanto and probably manage to communicate effortlessly with others of similar social class who may indeed be found in all corners of these islands.  I am reminded, however, of the group of Aberdeen FC supporters, who on one occasion, followed their team to a European game in Brussels. Finding themselves on the second day with little money and in need of sustenance, they determined to cook up a pot of soup at their campsite and made their way to a greengrocers.  One of the more cosmopolitan of their number summoned up enough schoolboy French to enquire: “Parlez vous anglais?”  On receiving a positive reply, he beamed, before stunning the shopkeeper with the phrase. “Braw! See us twa o yir neeps.”    

But Daniel Hannan was unstoppable:  he quoted, with admirable fluency, the philosopher Michael Oakshot: “To be conservative is to prefer the familiar to the unknown, the tried to the untried, the actual to the possible, the limited to the unbounded, the near to the distant, the sufficient to the super-abundant, the convenient to the perfect, present laughter to utopian bliss.”  Apart from preference for the “near to the distant”  I can’t help wondering how this fits with Daniel Hannan’s  belief that we must at all costs exit the European Union. 

The answer, of course, is the primacy which, as a conservative, he gives to the nation state.  Association with the European Union is a sullying of the historic sovereignty of the United Kingdom.  My difficulty with this is that in the modern world it ignores the problem of the supra-national world order, an arena in which there is no democracy, where small and poor nations struggle and large nations have been inclined to throw their weight around; then there is the fact that the international domain is a place where business can operate without constraints or regulation. I accept the European Union as a flawed entity;  it is however an important example of how states may pool some of their sovereignty to assist not only with trading relations, but also to address some of the larger problems which face us in this modern world. 

Freedom and the State

Alongside the importance of the  nation state as a source of “identity and pride” the participants in the discussion were consistent in their suspicion of any  state apparatus beyond the bare essentials required for governance and security.  This, of course, is classic conservatism, with the state regarded as an unwelcome intruder placing unwarranted restrictions on the freedom of the individual.  This somewhat paranoid view of the state is clearly a legacy of the Soviet Union and other undemocratic models of communism. Democratic socialists, however, would argue that the state has the potential to create  the space in which our freedoms may be expressed. Of course, I am as irritated as anyone when I hear, for example, that the Health and Safety Executive has banned school children from playing conkers in the playground for fear that they might injure themselves. As it turns out this story, widely reported in the early 2000s, was a myth but even, had it been true, I place my trust in democracy and free speech to shake out this kind of nonsense from the system and to arrive at sensible compromises which protect children, employees and the general public in appropriate ways.  

The Thatcher Legacy and its Impact on our Discourse

Following statements from the main participants in the Capx discussion,  there were questions from the floor and concerns  expressed in relation to “Nastiness based around defining who you don’t like.”  Daniel Hannan amplified this point with reference to those on the left of politics who had thought it acceptable to celebrate the death of Margaret Thatcher.  These comments reveal a naivety or a selective remembering of the Thatcher legacy.   

Whilst there are clearly many who revere Margaret Thatcher, there are also those  who have experienced her legacy as divisive and destructive. Her public tone rang with patronising insincerity.   A particularly sanctimonious example was her quotation of St Francis of Assisi “Where there is discord, may we bring harmony”. Humbug! Margaret Thatcher was the most divisive UK political leader of any party. 

Margaret Thatcher, as we know, took on the mining industry, which she correctly perceived as a bastion of Labour support. Coal miners were often situated in small communities which typically were tightly knit and proud of their history of struggle for better pay and conditions.  Their work, by any estimation, was difficult and dangerous but had over many years provided a vital energy source for the industry of our country. These mining villages exemplified many of the qualities that Burke prized when he spoke of the “little platoons”  of family and community.  They kept their gardens tidy, formed brass bands, (in Scotland, pipe bands) and educational societies and took care of one another when life was hard. 

Whilst I know that deep-mined coal could not be sustained indefinitely by the UK  tax payer, it is not hard to understand why these communities fought for their survival — a year-long strike is no small undertaking.  Margaret Thatcher is not remembered with affection in such communities and her legacy is a source of anger to many people living in parts of the country which have never really recovered from the damage wrought by her policies. 

We should, of course, admire those who shape their anger into something constructive and should strive for civility in our  public discourse, yet I think there is a place for anger; Jesus Christ did not politely ask the money lenders to exit the temple, he overthrew their tables and drove them out. 

Still, I prefer to think of Hamish Henderson in his First Elegy for the Dead in Cyrenaica,  when he  refers to the words of “Great Glencoe’s  son, that we should not disfigure ourselves with villainy of hatred.”  That I think sets a standard to which we may  aspire; yet when people first start to recognise injustice, and to articulate it, their words are unlikely to ring with generosity towards those they perceive as being responsible. 

The Little Platoons

The importance of family and community were a consistent thread through the  CapX discussion, with  a strong suggestion that socialism is intent on destroying the  “little platoons” that Burke considered fundamental to our society.  Burke’s use of the phrase, “little platoons”  expresses a paternalistic and patronising tone, which I dislike, but the substance of Burke’s ideas on the importance of association at the community level are uncontroversial.  The left has been quicker to acknowledge and accept the fairly organic changes that are occurring within our society, with one parent and diverse family structures widespread and gay relationships given equal status.  Ironically, in their daily lives, Labour MPs give the impression of being a fairly socially conservative bunch and it is our current Prime Minister, who, above all other politicians, most conspicuously disrespects the traditional conventions of family life.  I imagine that both Neil O’Brien and Daniel Hannan are his enthusiastic supporters. 

Fiscal Conservatism

Throughout the CapX discussion there was a lazy  assumption that only the Conservative Party can be trusted with the economy.  It is with tedious regularity that Conservative politicians refer to “the mess that Labour left us” as if the financial crisis had not been international in character, and the Conservative Party had not been complicit with Labour in the failure to regulate banking.  A further, oft repeated charge, is that the Labour Party is now in the hands of “that Marxist” Jeremy Corbyn, as if no further explanation of his unsuitability for government were necessary. 

Marx did indeed shine a light on the economic injustices of capitalism but  he had little to say about the way in which socialists should run an economy.  Maynard Keynes, by contrast, offered an economic theory and policies which enabled Roosevelt to steer the United States economy out of depression by means of his “New Deal”.  Keynes was also influential in financing the British war economy and the very radical programme of the post-war Labour Government, which gave us the NHS and brought key industries into the ownership of the state.    

Keynesian theory  was internationally influential in the post-war period, despite the rejection  of his plan for a global bank at Bretton Woods in 1944, 

The administration of Richard Nixon (1971-73) finally put paid to the regulatory framework of Bretton Woods and released the developed economies onto the stormy seas of neo-liberalism and currency speculation.    As it happens, a huge economic surge was just beginning to gain traction during this period, with the roll-out of new information and computing technologies. As Marriana Mazzucato points out in her book, The Entrepreneurial State  much of this phenomenal new energy and innovation was  built on a foundation of state sponsored research and development.  Even the economic stewardship of a Mr Bean could have ridden out this particular phase of the economic cycle — with the probable outcome that we would now all be economic Beanians, despite the clear legacy of division and inequality that the unfortunate downside of this  barely controlled revolution has spawned in our midst. Conservatives, both in the UK and the USA, have suddenly woken up to “the left behind”  as an electorally potent force but Donald Trump’s presidency does not inspire confidence that there are conservative policies to match conservative promises.

As  previously pointed out in the section on competition and the free market, there is increasing reason to suppose that the neo-liberal economic model can no longer conceal its limitations and so progressive politics are once again looking to Keynes for inspiration, as may be seen, for example in the writing of economist Ann Pettifor and her recent book The Case for the Green New Deal.  This advocacy of Keynsian ideas may be uncomfortable for some on the left of politics, for Keynes was a critic of Marx, moved in the elite cultural circle of the Bloomsbury group and had some decidedly unaccceptable views on race.  It is increasingly clear nevertheless that it is a Keynsian economic model to which the Labour Party is committing itself. It is fair to say that Keynsian theory is a harder sell than the neo-liberal (or Beanian) account which relies on simple homilies and  the appealing notion that national economies are really just a scaled up version of the household budget. More humbug!

Get Brexit Sorted

When I filter out much of the  nonsense in the CapX discussion, I am able to find more common ground than the foregoing arguments might suggest.  The realities of what our different parties actually believe are to some extent obscured by the oppositional nature of our discourse and the tendency to dig in to policy positions which actually represent a resort of temporary convenience, adopted for the purpose of bringing down the enemy. I warmed to the member of the audience who pleaded that we must “try different things, to find what works”: but with the forthcoming election in  mind, I feel it necessary to sound a more combative note, and for this purpose will rework the mantra of that master of the campaign haiku, Dominic Cummings:

Defeat Boris Johnson

Get Brexit sorted

Unite the country. 

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The Unborn will not be Celebrating

“The unborn will not be celebrating.” 

So said Arlene Foster as legislation permitting abortion was introduced to Northern Ireland.  

It is unsurprising that people who hold religious beliefs should argue against abortion:  however the implication that the unborn might have been celebrating, had the DUP suceeded in blocking the legislation, is an obvious absurdity. It is a sentimentalisation of matters, unworthy of any serious theologian, however fundamentalist their standpoint. The unborn neither celebrate nor regret their fate, for their identity has not yet become separate from their mother. The capacity to regret and celebrate only develop once a child becomes part of the world of living people.  If a mother decides to terminate her pregnancy, that is indeed a sad outcome, but overwhelmingly, that sadness is something which the mother alone must endure. 

Some weeks ago this matter was debated on BBC’s Politics live, with Telegraph journalist Tim Stanley arguing the case for the unborn, whilst a heavily pregnant Stella Creasy MP, spoke in support of making abortion available to women in Northern Ireland. One of the prompts for the discussion at the time was the way in which Stella Creasy had been targeted by the pro-life lobby.  Following the debate, I wrote to Tim Stanley arguing, amongst other things, that this debate has been damaged by the way it is being emotionally framed. Here is the letter in full.

Dear Tim Stanley

I listened with interest to your discussion with Stella Creasy on Politics Live,  on the subject of abortion.  

You made the point that images of the unborn foetus should be an acceptable part of the discussion, and indeed  contribute something important, because of the focus they bring to the visibly human physical development of the child.  

Other than a concern with accuracy, I have no objection to such images but I am concerned that they are being used to frame the discussion emotionally and to close down the rational philosophical and indeed theological arguments which can be used to defend a woman’s right to decide the fate of her unborn child. 

I assume your own resistance to abortion arises from  Christian faith, and whilst my own perspective is not a religious one I nevertheless believe that an ethical case can be made in favour of legal abortion which goes beyond the simple assertion that it should be a woman’s right to choose.

The case against abortion is based on a belief  that human life starts at the moment of conception, explicitly the position of the Roman Catholic church, and an argument which I assume underpins most religious objections to abortion.  

With the development of medical technology this belief has been bolstered by our ability to witness the development of the foetus from the earliest stage and to see the rapid development of human form.  

Images of the foetus and assertion of the rights of the unborn are used to build a case that a foetus should be valued as fully human and should enjoy the same rights as those who are alive in this world. There are good reasons to challenge this.  

 Though a foetus  has the miraculous qualities and potential of a human life, its status as a loved and valued person is as yet, only imagined.  Only when the child is born does it become part of the social world in which it is typically loved and valued, and where if this love is failing, or the child suffers on any account, the instinctive response of decent people is one of compassion.  

Of course much support for the rights of the unborn comes from those who wish to present themselves as having a similarly instinctive compassion for the foetus, but the true measure of the matter I believe may be seen in the clear distinction between the way mothers approach decisions regarding the lives of their unborn children and, by contrast, the children born to them.    

It is very exceptional for a mother to take the life of her own, or indeed any child.  Where from time to time this does happen, the matter is likely to be regarded with horror and treated as arising from a break-down in mental health and not as a criminal matter. 

Once a child has entered the world, even reluctant mothers instinctively protect the lives of their offspring and will go to great lengths to do so. 

When a pregnancy has been established, few mothers would seek termination without experiencing some emotional trauma; however, with the exception of mothers who have a strongly held religious belief, terminations are common, and are not regarded with horror as would be the murder of a child. Friends will support a woman through this experience and will be unlikely to challenge their decision to terminate, unless from a religious point of view.   

The modern case against abortion however is built on an attempt to inject horror into this  situation, to tell the mother who terminates her child that she is a murderer, and should be treated accordingly. 

A particular view  of what makes us human is fundamental to the  counter argument and here I think biblical text has got something to offer.  

The story of Adam and Eve may be understood as a metaphor for the emergence of men and women from their prelapsarian state and how, with the acquisition of knowledge, we are all faced with existential problems.  It is this transformation in the world which gives a human life its special status. I am fond of quoting Robert Burns poem To a Mouse, in which he shows a touching sensitivity towards the mouse he has uncovered, but balances this with a statement of his own humanity:

Still thou art blest, compared wi’ me

The present only toucheth thee:

But Och! I backward cast my e’e,

On prospects drear!

An’ forward, tho’ I cannae see,

I guess an’ fear!

When a child is born into this world, its development follows a similar trajectory, from innocence to knowledge.  It is entry into this world which from the first moment begins the development of a person in a way that critically distinguishes their life from that of the unborn. When a child is born, all of our instincts are that it should be cared for, and where care fails, it is our expectation as a civilised society,  that others should step in and take over.  

Nobody wants abortion. Nobody likes abortion.  Everything possible should be done to enable mothers to complete their pregnancy:  but in the end, the fate of the unborn child should be decided by the mother, for the child is still part of her and has not yet acquired an independent existence, or relationship to others.  The concerns of all others are a distant second. 

In making these arguments  I naturally accept the need for a legal framework within which abortions can be safely carried out in a way that broadly accepts  the sensitivities of the world we live in. 

Yours sincerely

Stephen Shellard

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The Uncertainties of Climate Forecast

It would appear that Boris Johnston does not share the sense of emergency regarding climate change as  felt by the youthfully inspired Extinction Rebellion, who he shrugged off early this week as “Uncooperative crusties!”     His father Stanley, by contrast, has come out in support of the insurgents: he’s obviously spending time with the grandchildren.  

Criffel, from across the Nith Estuary which feeds into the Solway Firth

Politics Live on Tuesday  [7Oct2019]  referred to the Boris insult, by way of an introduction to a discussion of the protests with a panel which included Rupert Read of Extinction Rebellion. Rupert was quick to draw attention to his uncrusty appearance – a smart jacket and tie, constrasting strikingly with the tieless Nigel Evans MP, who frankly, struck me as rather disheveled; too many late Brexit nights perhaps.  

It wasn’t long though till Rupert put his sartorial status at risk, rolling up his  sleeve and baring his forearm to show us, not tattoos, but the names of his nieces, hand written, rather roughly,    in marker pen. It was concern for their future which was the source of his campaigning energy, he told us with some emotion.  

 Other panelists  were journalist Madeline Grant and  Labour MP Jess Philips. In summary the discussion  was a tussle between the rather relaxed approach of the politicians and the passionate commitment of Rupert Read.  Madeline Grant just seemed uncomfortable to be seated so close to the slightly unhinged zeal of Rupert Read.  

None of the panelists denied the  threat of climate change: however, Nigel Evans was content with the Conservartive Party target of carbon zero by 2050,  Jess Phillips with the Labour target of 2030, whilst Rupert was adamant that we all need to be prepared for sacrifices to achieve the Extinction Rebellion Target of carbon zero by 2025.  Indeed he was insistent that in a mere 5 years time we must forsake air travel, private motor cars and instead commit to travelling by public transport, bicycles or walking. “What!” Madeline Grant screamed. “If this is what saving the planet means, then I’m out”….well actually she didn’t say that, but her rather expressive face suggested this may have been the thought which came first to her mind.

When challenged with Rupert’s 2025 plan, Nigel’s first instinct was continuing advocacy  for a third runway for Heathrow whilst Jess staunchly defended HS2.

Though a little unusual on Politics live, the media in general loves a debate to be livened by   theatrical behaviour and emotion, preferably tears. Personally I think that emotion, or passion as it is often styled,  in the context of debating important issues, is much overrated. But Rupert did indeed express himself with obvious passion as he advocated democracy and citizens assemblies, not really explaining how the two processes would interface in this case, without one compromising the other. I found it hard not to dismiss him as a bit too keen to be down with the kids, and to further dismiss the Extinction Rebellion target of carbon neutral by 2025, as a fantasy. 

Yet the truth is, for all my discomfort with his presentation of the arguments, I am with Rupert Read on this one. Accurately forecasting our unfolding climate crisis is a challenge, subject to the same vagaries as forecasting our weather.  The storm may arrive exactly as predicted, but it may just as likely arrive late, or on the other hand it may come early, and be more severe than anticipated: some of us can remember the Michael Fish forecast of 15th October 1987, which spectacularly underestimated the storm which was on its  way at the time. I note just one comment at the bottom of the YouTube video of his embarrassment: “The next morning, our summerhouse was in next door neighbours garden.

With climate change, the stakes are a great deal higher; it’s just common sense; why take the risk? We should of course try to be carbon neutral by 2025, however improbable a target that may be.  The idea, as Madelaine Grant interjected at one point, that pursuing this objective will “send us back to the stone age” is foolishness.  Failure to act is more likely to take us there.

Ann Pettifor in her book The Case for the Green New Deal proposes a Keynsian methodology for getting to carbon neutral,  based on the use of all of our available resources. It offers an opportunity to spread prosperity that is not currently available  from our moribund economy. That does not sound like the stone age to me. Ann Pettifor does suggest that we may have to forgo some of our habits of consumption, but there is every reason to suppose that the outcome could ensure that we are well fed, clothed and housed,  have excellent health and social care, education, training, public transport and a well cared for public domain. So, a very modernised version of the stone age. 

When we do eventually arrive at carbon neutral, we may of course conclude that the 2050 target would have been just fine:  but really, will that be a problem? Once we are in the clear, we can relax and and start to enjoy ourselves, though my prediction is that at no point in this process need we stop enjoying ourselves. 

So yes, I stand with  Stanley Johnston and the grandkids (whatever their number) on this one:  I support Extinction Rebellion’s ambitious targets, even though I fear their members are too often  happy to lead with worst case scenarios and exaggerated claims and are careless of disrupting the lives of others.  The exhilaration of taking part in such activities is a dangerous intoxicant. Meanwhile the sober onlookers, are irritated or dismissive: “uncooperative crusties” is probably one more of the more repeatable descriptions of the protesters circulating.   

Later in the week, Zion Lights of Extinction Rebellion, was grilled on the Andrew Neill Show.  Neil reasonably enough demanded evidence supporting claims by some members of Extinction Rebellion,  that “billions of people will die.” Zion kept her nerve, stuck carefully to the science and made it clear that such extreme predictions were indeed supported by some credible scientists, but readily accepted that they did not represent a scientific consensus. 

Still, when one really starts to think about the possible impacts of climate change, with displacement of people and increasing competition for scarce resources, it is not hard to imagine the world sliding towards a Hobbsian nightmare.  I’m well into the second half of my lifetime but I’ll be happy to see out the rest of it in an economy governed by the values of Ann Pettifor’s Green New Deal.

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The Production of Money: How to Break the Power of Bankers

The production of money cover

This book by Ann Pettifor is a clearly written explanation of how the financial system can be used, to activate or redirect the resources of the state in favour of whatever great project may be deemed important. Her arguments are a huge challenge to the idea that national economies must be run like a domestic household where expenditure is  tightly controlled and is inevitably constrained by income or  debt  burdens. On the contrary, she explains how the ambition of a nation should be limited only by the extent of its actual resources in terms of its available labour, education and its physical and geographical assets. I note complaints in a number of reviews that she does not provide a complete implementation plan, in particular for those aspects of her proposals which require supra national reform of the banking system; for that to happen however, the obvious failures of the current system need to be challenged by a credible alternative. Ann Pettifor offers such an alternative,  which has a track record of success in prewar regeneration of the US Economy by the new deal, the financing of the British War economy, and the post war Labour Government and the relative stability of the post war international economy – a framework which was a somewhat diluted version of Keynes prescriptions and ultimately overtaken by the so called “Nixon shock” which ended the regulation of the post-war economy provided by the Bretton Woods system.

If you’re not inclined to read a book on economics, then this interview with Ann Pettifor on the Sustainablility Agenda Podcast is worth a listen.  Whilst the interviewer does not ask particularly searching questions, he does allow space for Ann Pettifor to set out her case.  The interview is linked to the release of her most recent book The Case for the Green New Deal  which is definitely on my reading list.

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